Verified facts
- The US sample includes 10,980 adults weighted to be representative; Anthropic staff responses are unweighted.
- 39% of surveyed adults and 91% of staff expect a Nobel-level AI discovery by 2030.
- More than half of staff expect AI to perform at least 80% of their current work in 2030, compared with 5% of US workers.
What changes
The perception gap matters for training and adoption decisions.
Practical implication
Compare scenarios without turning answers into prophecies.
Availability
Public study covering the United States and Anthropic, not a Belgian or European sample.
Limits and uncertainty
The figures measure beliefs. They establish neither capability timelines nor future unemployment; lab staff do not represent the overall labor market.